By Swapan Dasgupta
There is a curious ritual that is faithfully enacted
each Budget day. The Finance Minister makes a rambling speech, concluding with
a verse from the Greats, which leaves most MPs (and, for that matter, TV
audiences) completely weary. However, a ripple of excitement is felt in the
Treasury benches the moment the FM announces that the allotment for a welfare
scheme, invariably named after one or the other member of the Nehru-Gandhi
family, has been increased by a few hundred crores. The message is received by
an enthusiastic thumping of desks and much happiness.
There is little doubt that later this month, when
Pranab Mukherjee presents his Budget, the scene is certain to be replayed. The
worry beads won’t be out when it is realised that the GDP figures for the past
four quarters show a sharp and worrying dip, that manufacturing is growing at
less than one per cent and that the fiscal deficit, projected by last year’s
Budget to be some 4.6 per cent of the GDP, is set to touch six per cent. But
come the announcement of some grandiose mega-scheme, the MPs (cutting across
party lines) will be joyous.
It is politically incorrect to contest the unstated
consensus that each Budget should see more and more money being pumped into
welfare schemes. Since Sonia Gandhi institutionalised the participation of
unelected representatives of NGOs into the decision-making process, the belief
that India’s first priority is to craft a socialist-style welfare state has
taken deep roots. It has become the new common sense to insist that the
burgeoning revenues from economic activity must be channelled into a new regime
of doles and subsidies. At every opportunity, the brigade of articulate,
middle-class do-gooders guilt trip successive FMs into apportioning more and
more money into more and more schemes designed by the poverty brokers.
This year, when India is witnessing a discernible
economic slowdown, economic activity is being hit by exorbitant interest rates
caused by an inflation that itself was the result of the government’s fiscal
profligacy, and inflation has made a dent in the middle class standards of
living, there is a new demand that is echoing through the corridors of power:
tax more. The tax rates in India, it is being argued, is too low and is needlessly
generous to the fat cats who must be squeezed till the pips squeak. In the
1950s, the socialists in the Congress and their Communist friends used to rail
against the monopolists; today, they declaim at the obscenity of Indians who
enrich themselves in India but make fresh investments overseas.
As is to be expected, the new demand reflects the
emerging anti-business attitudes of the liberal elites on both sides of the
Atlantic. President Barak Obama has made class conflict the basis of his re-election
plank against Republicans who seem too preoccupied with faith and morality. In
Britain, the coalition government is having a tough time contesting the
emerging wisdom high earners must be taxed over and above the 50 per cent rate
of income tax. In France, the socialist challenger to President Sarkozy wants a
75 per cent tax on millionaires.
This growing anti-business and anti-entrepreneurial
mood isn’t visible in China, Singapore, Indonesia and other Asian countries
that have witnessed rapid growth. However, since the West dictates intellectual
fashions of the Indian elite and supplies a translated version of the ‘eat the
rich’ dogma, the assumptions of defensive societies have become the mantra in
some circles of India. It is so reminiscent of the ease with which the
systematic suppression of the private sector under Jawaharlal Nehru and Indira
Gandhi was backed by volumes of economists’ wisdom.
This time too there is the backing of the same tribe
of quack doctors for raising all taxes. The logic is simple: if the economy as
a whole is on a downturn, squeeze those who have nurtured growth since 1991.
This self-destructive bloody-mindedness that draws
sustenance from a culture of envy is the inevitable result of not wanting to
address the root of the problem: the quality of the ever-growing government
expenditure. When, some five years ago, I had described the then fledgling
Employment Guarantee Scheme as the Corruption Guarantee Scheme, I was dubbed a
despicable, right-wing cretin. Today, as was evident during the UP election,
political parties now compete with each other to allege the embezzlement of
state funds.
As The Pioneer reported last Thursday, the Rs
1,00,452 crore spent on the MNREG programme in the past six years has yielded
diminishing returns. The days of work provided for households, far from
reaching the stipulated 100 days, actually fell from 54 in 2009-10 to 47 in
2010-11 and 32 in the nine months of 2011. Even economists who are naturally
inclined to endorse mega schemes have begun to issue warning signals. In an
article to Hindustan Times, Abhijit
Banerjee, Pranab Bardhan and others wrote: “how these progressive policies have
actually worked in practice has left this claim (of being a pro-poor
government) in tatters.”
Sunday Pioneer, March 4, 2012
1 comment:
It is refreshing to read your articles in a country that is preoccupied with preemptive welfare schemes. Keep writing!
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