By Swapan Dasgupta
Union Law Minister Salman Khurshid’s apparent
exasperation with Congress General Secretary Rahul Gandhi for the latter’s
failure to undertake his responsibilities as the de-facto Number Two became a
talking point in political circles this week.
Predictably, the focus was on the Congress heir
apparent for his rather casual approach to the crisis that has overwhelmed the
Congress Party and the UPA-2 Government. However, what was less noticed was
Khurshid’s parallel indictment of a Government in which he is a Cabinet
minister. In UPA-2, he said, “governance and politics have all got
intermingled. The political props have all got mixed up. It’s a scattered
situation.” Khurshid did not elaborate on the details of this dispersal. But he
said enough: “It’s not only economic reforms that have slowed down. Even
political and administrative reforms have not happened because of this
situation.” Translated into plain English, the minister was saying that UPA-2
was dysfunctional.
Coming as it did within a day of the Government
over-reacting to a Time magazine article
dubbing the Prime Minister an “under-achiever”, Khurshid’s comments added to
the overall Congress despondency with the prevailing state of politics.
Together, they also punctured the attempt by the Prime Minister’s Office to
suggest that the departure of Pranab Mukherjee from North Block has made the
Government more purposeful and set the stage for a bout of course-correcting reforms.
The attempt to talk up the economy and restore a
measure of confidence in a faltering economy was well-intentioned.
Unfortunately, they always lacked a substantial political basis. Observers
could not but gauge the fact that all the activity seemed to be centred on the
utterances of three individuals: Montek Singh Ahluwalia, C.Rangarajan and
Kaushik. There was a beeline of prominent industrialists who met Ahluwalia at
Yojana Bhavan; Rangarajan, in his capacity as the head of the Prime Minister’s
Economic Advisory Council, met a delegation from the Confederation of Indian
Industry who presented him with demands for interest rate cuts and a special
booster package for industry; and Kaushik Basu travelled to Kolkata to appeal
to the intractable Mamata Banerjee to support the opening-up of the retail
sector to foreign investment.
Two things were quite noticeable from these
meetings. First, the three individuals at the helm of the confidence-building
initiatives were all technocrats, uninvolved in the political decision-making
of UPA-2. Secondly, the pro-reform pep talk by the three eminent economists
wasn’t accompanied by any corresponding political initiative. Apart from Home
Minister P.Chidambaram who scored a self-goal with his gratuitous comments on
middle-class selfishness, none of the heavyweights of either the Congress Party
or its allies joined in the chorus. It almost seemed that economic reforms was
a special obsession of the Prime Minister and disconnected from politics.
Indeed, the past week also witnessed a meeting of
the National Advisory Council, the equivalent of Congress President Sonia
Gandhi’s Star Chamber. Had the NAC made noises supportive of economic reforms,
it would have been a tremendous boost to the self-confidence of the Prime
Minister and indicated that what was being argued by the economists also had
the backing of the social sector activists who are so dear to Sonia.
Unfortunately for him, the NAC didn’t deviate from its old script. To those in
Lutyens’ Delhi accustomed to reading tea leaves, the message was clear.
Khurshid spoke about governance and politics having
got intermingled. In a democracy that is inevitable. When he presented his
Budget last March at a time when the Government was looking distinctly fragile,
Pranab Mukherjee had one paramount objective: to ensure that the Finance Bill
was passed in the Lok Sabha without too much fuss. Mukherjee was, if nothing
else, a deft political manager who was aware of the Government’s limitations.
He, therefore, chose to gloss over the details of how subsidies could be
reduced without raising diesel and cooking gas prices. He was equally vague and
disingenuous about how the fiscal deficit was to be reduced.
Today, Mukherjee is being pilloried for his obduracy
on retrospective taxes and his insistence on GAAR—all indicative of a pre-1991
mindset of controls. There is no doubt that he is guilty as charged. But
India’s next President was also clear in his mind that he had very little elbow
room for reforms. In particular, he was aware that reducing government
expenditure was simply unacceptable to backbench MPs and to Sonia Gandhi who
has her heart set on the proposed Food Security Act. Mukherjee took the line of
least resistance and hoped that someone else would carry the can next year. No
wonder he was so anxious to take the short walk from North Block to Rashtrapati
Bhavan.
In trying to disentangle economics from politics,
the Prime Minister is trying to achieve the impossible. The harsh truth is that
there is no consensus either in the Congress, the UPA-2 or for that matter in
the rest of society over what exactly needs to be done to kick-start the
economy. Today, the problems have escalated to a point that neither foreign
investment in retail nor the Pensions Bill will put India back on track. On the
contrary, these moves are calculated to be contentious and trigger political
turmoil.
Governments can do what is needed in the first two
years of an administration. The election season normally begins after 36
months. Tragically, the UPA-2 lost the plot even before the midway stage.
1 comment:
>> "The harsh truth is that there is no consensus either in the Congress, the UPA-2 or for that matter in the rest of society over what exactly needs to be done to kick-start the economy."
Swapan da,
Usually, I like your pieces.
However, this one happens to be an exception, as far as my tastes go. There wasn't a subtle bite left that you didn't take, at any of the turns and twists, as you went along with the flow of the circumstances as they actually happen to be (sadly).
I must call it extraordinary.
I _was_ waiting for my chance. I had lost the hopes of it by the time I arrived at it.
Then, it happened. You gave in. Here:
"or for that matter _in the rest of society_ over what exactly needs to be done to kick-start the economy."
Hmmm... I will skip over the kick-start part of it. ... I understand your feelings.
Nowhere near having your mastery of words, but, nevertheless, I would suggest that you become even more aware, than is normally possible to any resident of New Delhi, of the society outside of Naryaa Modi's ilk. Hmmmm? How's that for a good deal?
Never mind. I loved this piece. Take _that_ as your "take home" message.
Just too good---your piece, that is. So just tongue in cheek, and then again, protruding just so enough out of the lips... MMS supporters, if conscious, must get mad at you. ... Just the sort of a thing I love. ... As they might say it (which way of saying it I've barely just now learnt), consider the pot stirred.
Best,
--Ajit
[E&OE]
Post a Comment